祝贺特朗普总统。您以美国令人敬畏的正义力量,大胆地瞄准伊朗核设施,将改变历史。

上述为美国对伊朗福尔多、纳坦兹和伊斯法罕的核设施进行轰炸后,西方媒体对特朗普政府动用其硬实力的赞赏。

尽管伊朗从未进行过核武试验,并一再否认寻求发展核武;而美国情报机构也评估认为,伊朗尚未最终决定发展核武器,但特朗普政府却依然采取了攻击行动。

美国的军事行动被美国进步派人士视为非法、不必要且愚蠢的行为。然而,这得到了主流保守派媒体的大力支持,他们对攻击伊朗的“午夜重锤行动”、美国的军事实力以及特朗普总统“卓越”且影响深远的领导力进行了热烈的报道。

鲜为人知且鲜少报道的是,以色列在这行动幕后的操纵,促使特朗普下令对伊朗进行直接军事打击。

以色列是透过以下方式让特朗普依从以色列要求。

以色列密集军事行动:在美国发动攻击之前,以色列已经对伊朗进行了超过一周的军事攻击行动,自1979年伊朗伊斯兰政府成立以来,以色列就视其为最大威胁。以色列持续施压营造局势,并制造出一种紧迫感,促使以色列和美国采取某种联合“反击”行动。

情报共享:以色列官员和情报机构一直与美国同行就中东局势保持密切联系,并向特朗普政府以及之前美国政府提供了有关伊朗核计划的详细评估。这些评估强调了以色列感知到的迫在眉睫威胁,以及以色列对摧毁伊朗核设施的能力限制。以色列长期以来一直辩称,只有美国拥有摧毁福尔多和纳坦兹核设施所需的特定“掩体炸弹”(例如GBU-57巨型钻地炸弹)和隐形轰炸机(B-2“幽灵”轰炸机)。

战略机会论:以色列说服了特朗普政府,其“崛起之狮行动”已经削弱了伊朗的防空能力,使美国打击伊朗核设施不会面对伊朗反击风险。他们将此视为一个“无与伦比的机会”,可以挫败伊朗核计划,甚至可能是永久性的让伊朗再难于发展核计划;甚至通过锁定清除伊朗高级军事和政府领导人来促成政权更迭,这也符合美国的利益。

美国亲以色列议员和领导人的游说:有报道指出,特朗普是在许多共和党和民主党议员以及商界利益团体的“怂恿”下,才决定加入这场冲突。这表明,以色列政府和美国政坛内有影响力的犹太复国主义盟友都进行了直接的游说和宣传。

内塔尼亚胡傀儡大师

以色列能成功诱导美国更多参与目前在中东发动的战争,其中关键人物就是──以色列总统内塔尼亚胡。

这是他如何策划整场行动,犹如一位“傀儡大师”,拉动了最后一根绳索,导致了一场对美国与特朗普而言很可能是“惨胜”的结果。

1.长达数十年的攻势:内塔尼亚胡30多年来一直主张对伊朗核计画采取军事行动,并利用访问美国的机会将伊朗描绘成对以色列的生存威胁。2024年秋天,内塔尼亚胡已下令准备攻击行动,包括编制了一份伊朗核科学家的暗杀名单,并系统性地摧毁叙利亚、黎巴嫩和伊朗的防空系统,为轰炸行动扫清障碍。2023年对哈马斯的袭击以及随后以色列的反击摧毁了伊朗的代理网络(真主党、哈马斯和叙利亚政权),为与实力遭到削弱的伊朗直接对抗创造了“独特机会”。

2.利用美以联盟:尽管美国情报部门评估认为伊朗尚未决定发展核武器,但内塔尼亚胡于2025年4月在白宫与特朗普会面,强调伊朗的核威胁,以配合其战略。当特朗普在2025年5月至6月寻求与伊朗进行谈判时,内塔尼亚胡却在2025年6月13日发动了以色列的单边攻击,从而破坏了谈判,因为他知道这将迫使美国介入。美国国务卿卢比奥最初称这些打击是“单边的”,但在伊朗采取报复行动后,特朗普也加入了这场冲突。

3.操纵情报和威胁认知:以色列官员向美国展示,称伊朗核子研究“令人担忧”。内塔尼亚胡利用了美以分析师之间微妙的分歧。尽管双方都承认伊朗科学家正在重新考虑武器化核研究,但内塔尼亚胡却将此描述为迫在眉睫的威胁。特朗普最终解雇了美国情报总监加巴德,并采纳了内塔尼亚胡的论调,声称伊朗“非常接近”拥有核弹。

特朗普和内塔尼亚胡的后果

作为幕后操盘手,内塔尼亚胡巧妙地利用特朗普的虚荣心,透过一连串的奉承与迎合特朗普欲建立历史遗产的渴望来操控局势。内塔尼亚胡也通过赞扬美国空袭行动为“历史性”,并声称这些行动将会“改写历史”,以延续其策略。

对内塔尼亚胡个人而言,更重要的是美国的行动成功转移了外界对其长期贪腐案审讯和加沙战争失败的关注。这不仅有助于在即将到来的选举中提振其所属的政党利库德集团,也很可能确保他继续掌权。一旦如此,这将有利于内塔尼亚胡的未来及其在以色列历史上的地位。

至于特朗普,他却让美国面临更大的风险与脆弱境地,因为伊朗可能会对驻中东美军进行报复。此外,他也意外地促成了更广泛的穆斯林世界——包括那些与伊朗立场不同的国家——在这一事件上表现出跨越教派与政治分歧的团结。或许最具深远影响的是,这场美国空袭被置于宗教与意识形态的框架中来解读,进一步强化了伊朗“受西方侵略”的论调,壮大了强硬派势力,并确保无论是在伊朗、中东,还是我们这一区域,无论是国家或非国家的行动者,都将在长期内持续动员反美情绪。

林德宜《以伊战争:内塔尼亚胡利用特朗普自负》原文:Iran Strike: How Netanyahu Exploited Trump Ego

Congratulations, President Trump. Your bold decision to target Iran’s nuclear facilities with the awesome and righteous might of the United States will change history

The latest western media coverage has been agog with the Trump administration's use of its hard power. It follows the bombing of Iran’s nuclear facilities at Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan.

This was despite the fact that Iran has never tested a nuclear device and has repeatedly denied pursuing nuclear weapons; and the assessment of U.S. intelligence agencies that Iran had not made a final decision to build a nuclear weapon.

The US intervention has been regarded as illegal, unnecessary and foolish by progressive Americans. However it has drawn the strong support of the mainstream conservative media with rhapsodic reporting of “Operation Midnight Hammer”, American military might, and President Trump's ‘brilliant’ and far reaching leadership.

Not discussed and much less reported is that it was Israel pulling the strings which led to Trump's decision to order the direct military strikes on Iran.

This is how Israel was able to get Trump to bend his knees to support Israel 

Intense Israeli Military Campaign: Before the US strikes, Israel had been engaged in over a week of its own military operations against Iran which has been seen as the biggest threat to Israel since the establishment of the Islamic government in Iran after 1979. This sustained Israeli pressure softened the ground and created a sense of urgency and inevitability for some sort of joint Israeli-American ‘retaliatory’ action.

Intelligence Sharing: Israeli officials and intelligence agencies have been in constant contact with their U.S. counterparts on Middle East developments and would have provided the Trump as well as earlier administrations with detailed assessments of Iran's nuclear program. These would have emphasised the perceived imminent threat and the limitations of Israeli capabilities to fully neutralize deeply buried sites. Israel has long argued that only the US possessed the specific "bunker-buster" bombs (like the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator) and stealth bombers (B-2 Spirit) necessary to destroy the nuclear facilities at Fordow and Natanz.

Strategic Opportunity Argument: Israel was able to convince the Trump administration that its "Operation Rising Lion" had degraded Iran's air defenses to a point where a US strike on the nuclear facilities would not be risky. They framed this as an "unparalleled opportunity" to set back Iran's nuclear program, possibly permanently; and even to precipitate a regime change with the targeted assassination of Iranian top military and civilian leaders also benefitting American interests.

Lobbying by American Pro Israel Lawmakers and Leaders: Reports indicate that Trump made the calculation to join the conflict "at the prodding” of many Republican and Democratic party lawmakers and business interests.This suggests direct lobbying and advocacy from both the Israeli government and influential Zionist allies within the US political system.

Netanyahu as Puppet Master

One person was key to the successful Israeli effort to induce the U.S. to be more engaged in the wars it is currently waging in the Middle East - Israeli President Benjamin Netanyahu.

This is how he orchestrated as the "puppeteer" that pulled the final string which led to what may well turn out to be a pyrrhic victory for the U.S. and Trump.

1.Decades-Long Campaign:

Netanyahu had advocated for military action against Iran's nuclear program for over 30 years, using visits to the U.S.to frame Iran as an existential threat to Israel. By fall 2024, Netanyahu had already ordered preparations for strikes, including compiling assassination lists for Iranian nuclear scientists and systematically destroying air defenses in Syria, Lebanon, and Iran to clear a path for bombing runs. The 2023 Hamas attack and subsequent Israeli counterstrikes neutralized Iran's proxy network (Hezbollah, Hamas, Syrian regime), creating a "unique opportunity" for direct confrontation with a weakened Iran.

2.Leveraging the U.S.-Israel Alliance:

Netanyahu met Trump at the White House in April 2025 to align strategies by emphasizing Iran's nuclear threat despite U.S. intelligence assessments that Iran had not yet decided to build a weapon. When Trump pursued negotiations with Iran in May-June 2025, Netanyahu undermined them by launching unilateral Israeli strikes on June 13, 2025, knowing this would force U.S. involvement. U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio initially called these strikes "unilateral," but Trump later joined after Iran retaliated.

3. Manipulating Intelligence and Threat Perceptions:

Israeli officials presented U.S. counterparts with interpretations of Iranian nuclear research as "alarming". Netanyahu capitalized on nuanced disagreements between U.S. and Israeli analysts. While both acknowledged Iranian scientists were revisiting weaponization research, Netanyahu framed this as an imminent threat. Trump eventually dismissed his own intelligence director, Tulsi Gabbard and adopted Netanyahu's rhetoric, claiming Iran was "very close" to a bomb. 

Aftermath for Trump and Netanyahu

As puppet master, Netanyahu was able to play on the vanities of Trump and pander to his ego through a combination of flattery and appeal to Trump's desire for legacy-building. He has continued this by praising the U.S. strikes as "historic" and claimed that they would "change history".

More important personally for Netanyahu is that the American action has diverted attention from his long standing corruption trial and Gaza war failures. This, whilst boosting his Likud party in the coming polls, may well ensure his continuation in power. Should that happen, it can be seen to positively impact Netanyahu’s future and position in Israeli history.

Trump, on the other hand, has now put the U.S. in a position of greater risk and vulnerability from potential Iranian retaliation against U.S. forces in the Middle East. He has also provided the larger Muslim world, including countries not aligned with Iran, with a solidarity that cuts across sectarian and political divides. Perhaps the most consequential impact is the religious and ideological framing of the U.S. strike. It will further burnish Iran's narrative that it is a victim of Western aggression, empowering hardliners and ensuring long-term anti-American mobilization from both state and non-state actors, not only in Iran and the Middle East, but also in our part of the world.

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